Behaviour Intelligence
Markets
How human behaviour is changing around the world’s most important companies and commodities — not a financial product, not investment advice.
Companies
Meta
User behaviour around Meta is shifting significantly. Younger generations increasingly rely on short-form video—particularly Instagram Reels and competing platforms—for skill development, outpacing traditional learning channels. Simultaneously, teenagers and young adults are disengaging from Facebook's public posting model, preferring private messaging and alternative platforms. This reflects a broader move away from Meta's legacy social posting experience toward more intimate, video-first content consumption.
Alphabet
Creators and platforms are shifting behaviour around short-form video as a learning medium. YouTube Shorts has established a dedicated fund for educational content creators, signalling institutional investment in this format for skill-building. Simultaneously, TikTok's algorithmic prioritization of educational hashtags reflects platform-level commitment to surfacing learning content. These moves indicate changing creator behaviour—more are producing educational shorts—and evolving audience consumption patterns, with viewers increasingly turning to brief, snackable video for skill acquisition rather than traditional long-form formats.
NVIDIA
Distributors in China are raising prices on NVIDIA's latest RTX 50-series GPUs significantly. This pricing behaviour shift suggests distributors are responding to market conditions—whether demand pressure, supply constraints, or margin adjustment—by passing costs upstream to customers. The coordinated nature of multiple distributors raising prices indicates a market-wide recalibration rather than isolated actions.
OpenAI
User behaviour is shifting away from OpenAI's ChatGPT as their preferred AI assistant. While no established behavioural patterns have yet been identified, signals indicate that people are actively exploring and adopting alternative AI tools. This represents a meaningful change in user preference and engagement patterns around OpenAI's core offering.
Commodities
Coffee
Coffee consumption behaviour is shifting as consumers increasingly use it as a meal replacement alongside energy drinks rather than as an accompaniment to breakfast. This reflects changing eating patterns where people prioritise convenience and caffeine intake over traditional food consumption, suggesting evolving daily routines and dietary priorities among coffee drinkers.
Oil
Human behaviour around oil is shifting in response to geopolitical tensions and supply uncertainty. Market participants are closely monitoring disruption risks, with heightened attention to supply-side vulnerabilities. This increased vigilance reflects growing concern about the stability and reliability of oil supplies in an unstable geopolitical environment.
